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Southern Cone

Southern Cone Briefing — 01/08/26

This week: Milei's Central Bank Reform Locks in Independence, Bars Treasury Financing · Argentine Labor Confederation Mobilizes Against Foreign Land Ownership Bill · Argentina's Crude Oil Exports Surpass Agricultural Commodities as Top Earner

economy  elDiarioAR

Milei's Central Bank Reform Locks in Independence, Bars Treasury Financing

President Javier Milei announced a comprehensive reform of Argentina's Central Bank charter establishing price stability as the institution's sole mandate and prohibiting Treasury financing. The proposal raises the threshold for removing BCRA leadership and adds criminal penalties for actions threatening institutional autonomy.

WHY IT MATTERS If passed, the reform will limit future governments' ability to print money to cover budget deficits, increasing investor confidence in currency stability and their willingness to buy peso-denominated bonds.

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politics  elDiarioAR

Argentine Labor Confederation Mobilizes Against Foreign Land Ownership Bill

The CGT labor confederation will join mass demonstrations on August 6 opposing Milei's proposed law allowing foreign ownership of Argentine land, with multiple union and social movements participating. The action represents organized labor's entry into a widening coalition against the legislation.

WHY IT MATTERS CGT's August 6 mobilization signals institutional resistance that can delay or force amendments to the land bill in Congress—a measure the administration considers central to capital inflows.

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economy  Buenos Aires Herald

Argentina's Crude Oil Exports Surpass Agricultural Commodities as Top Earner

Crude oil became Argentina's leading export in the first half of 2026, generating US$4.7 billion in revenue with a 47.7% year-over-year increase, surpassing corn and soy as the country's top commodity export. Expanding shale production is driving the shift.

WHY IT MATTERS Argentina's transition toward hydrocarbons as the primary export earner reduces structural exposure to agricultural price cycles but increases exposure to oil price volatility.

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security  El Observador

Uruguay Advances Conexión Ganadera Fraud Case With August 5 Detention Hearings

Uruguayan judicial authorities scheduled hearings for August 5 to review detention and house-arrest measures for suspects Carrasco, Iewdiukow, and Cabral in the Conexión Ganadera investigation, in which defendants allegedly defrauded investors out of around US$250 million.

WHY IT MATTERS Continued prosecution of Conexión Ganadera figures sustains reputational and regulatory scrutiny of Uruguay's livestock investment sector, affecting future capital mobilization in the scheme's target markets.

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economy  El Observador

IMF Managing Director Endorses Uruguay's Macroeconomic Stability and Currency Reform

The IMF Managing Director praised Uruguay's currency reform initiatives and macroeconomic stability during a regional visit, stating she delayed travel because "they are doing things well." She urged the central bank to maintain inflation targets.

WHY IT MATTERS The IMF's public endorsement reinforces Uruguay's reputation for fiscal responsibility, supporting continued favorable terms for sovereign borrowing during a period of broader Southern Cone volatility.

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